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When even some conservatives are calling for Sarah Palin to be replaced as John McCain’s running mate, you know she’s in serious trouble. But it’s unlikely that Palin will be forced to withdraw (barring a meltdown during the debate with Joe Biden or some other absolute disaster), as some analysts have been predicting, virtually from the time she was nominated. Nate Silver explains why:
He notes one historic parallel as well: “George McGovern went from 19 points behind Richard Nixon in a Gallup poll taken in mid-July 1972–just after Thomas Eagleton had been nominated at the Democratic convention–to a -26 in early August after he had dumped Eagleton from the ticket.”
More from Ken Silverstein:
Perspective — October 23, 2013, 8:00 am
How pro-oil Louisiana politicians have shaped American environmental policy
Postcard — October 16, 2013, 8:00 am
A trip to one of the properties at issue in Louisiana’s oil-pollution lawsuits
Chance that a civilian who died in a 20th-century war was American:
A physicist calculated that mass worldwide conversion to a vegetarian diet would do more to slow global warming than cutting back on oil and gas use.
“All I saw,” said a 12-year-old neighbor of visits to the man’s house, “was just cats in little diapers.”
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“I hope that after reading the following pages the leaders of the Y. M. C. A. will start a campaign to induce good young men to do nothing. If so, I shall not have lived in vain.”