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When even some conservatives are calling for Sarah Palin to be replaced as John McCain’s running mate, you know she’s in serious trouble. But it’s unlikely that Palin will be forced to withdraw (barring a meltdown during the debate with Joe Biden or some other absolute disaster), as some analysts have been predicting, virtually from the time she was nominated. Nate Silver explains why:
He notes one historic parallel as well: “George McGovern went from 19 points behind Richard Nixon in a Gallup poll taken in mid-July 1972–just after Thomas Eagleton had been nominated at the Democratic convention–to a -26 in early August after he had dumped Eagleton from the ticket.”
More from Ken Silverstein:
Perspective — October 23, 2013, 8:00 am
How pro-oil Louisiana politicians have shaped American environmental policy
Postcard — October 16, 2013, 8:00 am
A trip to one of the properties at issue in Louisiana’s oil-pollution lawsuits
Estimated cost of the environmental damage caused each year by the world’s 3,000 largest companies:
Two thirds of U.S. teenagers experience uncontrollable rage.
Beekeepers began extracting 1 million honeybees living beneath the siding of a house in New York State.
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“Shelby is waiting for something. He himself does not know what it is. When it comes he will either go back into the world from which he came, or sink out of sight in the morass of alcoholism or despair that has engulfed other vagrants.”